Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.524979 1.737755 1.969262 2.239832 2.547392 2.886148 3.287633
2025-11-09 1.156333 1.436797 1.768755 2.190583 2.712463 3.337200 4.142412
2025-11-16 0.973789 1.284746 1.674880 2.200199 2.889331 3.763145 4.956614
2025-11-23 0.854548 1.184297 1.618262 2.231037 3.074445 4.195495 5.801128
2025-11-30 0.749382 1.083950 1.542931 2.218355 3.187590 4.529694 6.532857
2025-12-07 0.656290 0.986453 1.456583 2.174525 3.244031 4.780289 7.159558
2025-12-14 0.574853 0.894957 1.366568 2.111606 3.260100 4.966049 7.698923
2025-12-21 0.516523 0.830767 1.308594 2.087534 3.326928 5.225902 8.364638
2025-12-28 0.488467 0.809900 1.313277 2.158279 3.543112 5.727214 9.444084
2026-01-04 0.442970 0.755926 1.259896 2.129702 3.595622 5.971775 10.128645
2026-01-11 0.419089 0.734933 1.257158 2.182452 3.783689 6.447225 11.230043
2026-01-18 0.388436 0.699168 1.226070 2.183388 3.882462 6.779497 12.112949
2026-01-25 0.356658 0.661731 1.194443 2.190992 4.012450 7.208688 13.265979
2026-02-01 0.318871 0.610109 1.134028 2.143589 4.044654 7.479173 14.182076
2026-02-08 0.293959 0.579152 1.106925 2.152971 4.179353 7.943020 15.496263
2026-02-15 0.274577 0.556358 1.092152 2.183151 4.354760 8.496479 17.033631
2026-02-22 0.252225 0.525088 1.057674 2.170740 4.445005 8.894713 18.306094
2026-03-01 0.229014 0.489409 1.010674 2.127846 4.468958 9.163886 19.344220
2026-03-08 0.206484 0.452596 0.957487 2.066273 4.447416 9.338073 20.201529
2026-03-15 0.189994 0.426797 0.924234 2.042716 4.502234 9.671860 21.425650
2026-03-22 0.183297 0.421615 0.933804 2.111948 4.762486 10.458991 23.704849
2026-03-29 0.169012 0.397878 0.900887 2.083982 4.805840 10.784489 24.995468
2026-04-05 0.162202 0.390513 0.903280 2.135604 5.032688 11.531696 27.311451